July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92%,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content{padding-top:70px;padding-bottom:70px;}@media (max-width: 560px){#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

.blog-content{padding-top:40px;padding-bottom:40px;}}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box{max-width:882px;margin:0 auto;text-align:left;}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box h3{margin:0 0 36px 0;}@media (max-width: 560px){#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box h3,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

.blog-content .intro-box h3{margin:0 0 15px 0;}}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box p{margin-bottom:20px;white-space:normal;text-align:left;}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box p:last-of-type,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box p:last-of-type{margin-bottom:0;}@media (max-width: 560px){#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box p,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

.blog-content .intro-box p{margin-bottom:25px;}}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box a{-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box .socials_zone{margin-top:38px;}@media (max-width: 768px){#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box .socials_zone li,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box .socials_zone li{padding-bottom:28px;}}@media (max-width: 560px){#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box .socials_zone,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

.blog-content .intro-box .socials_zone{margin-top:22px;}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box .socials_zone li a,#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

.blog-content .intro-box .socials_zone li a{margin:0 auto;}#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8

July 2026

San Francisco

Market Outlook

Data through June 2026

July 2026

Housing Market Report

The Bay Area housing market is the center of national attention this summer. AI-driven wealth has offset persistently higher mortgage rates .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 pushing demand in a handful of neighborhoods to dramatic levels.

The most intense competition is concentrated in San Francisco itself. In June .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 44 homes in the city sold for at least $1 million over asking (see charts, next page). Sales in San Francisco .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 San Mateo .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and Marin are running well above last year's pace.

Other parts of the Bay Area are more exposed to AI' s other edge:jobs .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 inflation .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates. Most buyers need a mortgage .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 and rates have stayed elevated — though still below last year's level. Nationally, inflation remains well above what policymakers and bond markets are comfortable with, driven by energy costs, government spending, and quite possibly the AI investment boom itself. Mortgage rates spent another month near 6.5%.

Santa Clara County is feeling a different edge: Bay Area tech companies have cut 58,000 jobs so far in 2026, and in the South Bay, inventory is climbing while average sale prices trail last year.

In many ways, the Bay Area is leading the nation' s housing story in both directions — new wealth pulling the top of the market to record heights .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while job insecurity and high rates weigh on buyers further down. It's always worth watching the Bay Area markets closely as we often signal where the rest of the country is headed next.

San Francisco' s single-family housing market is continuing to break away from the post-pandemic correction and has entered a period of strong price appreciation. The median single-family home price reached new highs of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 128 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 in June 2026 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 an increase of 24.8% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 705 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 500 in June 2025. Prices are also 15.0% above the June 2022 median of $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 850 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000. June's median price came in 3.3% lower than May' s median of $2 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 200 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 000 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 in line with seasonal summer cooling trends.

There were 232 single-family home sales in June .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 4.0% from 223 sales in June 2025. While activity remains below the 250 sales recorded in June 2022 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 it is stronger than the transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 suggesting that demand has remained resilient despite elevated home prices.

One of the clearest explanations for this appreciation is the severe shortage of available inventory and inflow of money from the AI boom. At the end of June .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 there were just 590 active listings (single-family homes and condos combined) .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while 546 properties were under contract. This equates to an absorption rate of approximately 92% .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 meaning nearly as many homes were pending sale as were actively available. Put another way .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 the market had just over one month of inventory .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 which is exceptionally tight supply for this time of year. This is the highest absorption rate and lowest level of inventory that we have observed during the summer market since 2020 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 underscoring the intensity of buyer competition.

Homes also continue to sell quickly. Single-family homes averaged 21 days on market in June .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 while condos averaged 37 days. Condo Days on Market improved from 41 days in May and have fallen dramatically from 60 days in June 2025 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 a 38.3% reduction in time on market. Single-family homes spent slightly longer on the market than in May (21 days versus 18 days) .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 but they continue to sell much faster than last June .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the average was 27 days.

Pricing strength is also evident on a price-per-square-foot basis. The median price per square foot reached $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 230 in June .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 up 22.3% from $1 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 006 one year ago. Prices have increased 28% since January .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 when the median price per square foot was $961. The median size of homes selling has also increased. This suggests that a greater share of larger homes is trading hands .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 supporting what many agents are reporting in the field:Demand for larger .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 high-end homes continues to outpace available supply .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 contributing to what could be described as a "mansion shortage."

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527235 .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 01527365. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 omissions .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 changes in price .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 condition .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 sale .intro-box .socials_zone li:nth-last-of-type(-n+3),#section-d1c4deb6-69ef-4650-91f6-ed0ef18a59b8 or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

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